Weekend Warriors: Best Bets for September 27th and 28th.

Oof. Rough week 2 of weekend warriors as we go just 1-5 with our lone winner on the NFL best bet as the Browns win outright. The awful week moves us to 4-8 overall in our article, 1-3 in college football, 3-1 in the NFL, and a brutal 0-4 in NASCAR. That being said, we actually had a nice weekend with our official plays as we went 3-0 in the NFL and profited in college football. We did have Wallace as a best bet but couldn't get that one home. I feel really good about the plays this week and we are looking to bounce back.

Source: Alabama Athletics

BAMA +3 (-115)

For my college football best bet on Saturday, we are headed to a marquee SEC matchup between the Crimson Tide of Alabama and the Georgia Bulldogs. While this game is in Athens, GA, I feel that the wrong team is favored. Georgia is the perceived favorite in this matchup thanks to playing at home and boasting a 3-0 record with a road victory at Tennessee. That victory, however is misleading. Tennessee had outplayed Georgia for a good chunk of the game but ultimately blew an early 14 point lead, as well as a late 8 point lead and ultimately lost in OT. Had that result gone the way of the Volunteers, this line would likely be closer to a pick em. Alabama, on the other hand, heads into this matchup at 2-1 with their most impressive victory coming against a mid tier Wisconsin team. Their sole loss came in week 1 as they fell victim to a brutal scheduling spot by drawing a revamped Florida State team on the road in Tallahassee in week 1. Florida State had everything to prove after an abysmal 2-10 season last year and they gave everything they had against an Alabama team who may have overlooked them. That loss turns out to not be so bad as FSU is currently a top 10 team in the AP rankings. Alabama's stock in the market was driven down off of that loss and has not been properly adjusted since, as they covered their next two games and have what I believe to be an inflated line heading into this Georgia matchup. Not only that, Alabama has owned this series, winning 9 of their last 10 straight up vs the Bulldogs. They have covered 4 of their last 5 meetings with Georgia, though they've been underdogs in the majority of those. I think Alabama will once again thrive in this underdog role on Saturday night. Lastly, reinforcements are on the way for the Crimson Tide as RB Jam Miller and DL Tim Keenan III both look to make their season debut's on Saturday, two players that should not be undervalued. Expect another classic between the Tide and the Dogs but I expect Alabama to once again come out victorious in what I expect to be a 41-34 type of win. Take the points with Bama.

Honorable Mention: ILL +7 -115

Source: Giants.com

NYG +6.5 (-110)

Plug your nose per usual, we are backing an ugly dog on Sunday as our NFL best bet. Give me the Giants plus the points as they host the red hot Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, and don't be surprised if the Giants follow in the Browns shoes from last week's best bet and win this game outright. This is moreso a bet against the Chargers as opposed to a bet on the Giants, however, the G-men do have some bet on qualities going for them this week. Let's start with the Chargers. This is a horrific spot for LA as they are coming off 3 straight divisional games to open up their season. They started the year in Brazil with a win against their biggest rival Chiefs. They then traveled to Vegas and took care of the Raiders before hosting their first true home game against the Broncos and winning that one at the last second. After starting 3-0, all against their division, this is a natural breathe easy spot for the Chargers. They now travel cross country to play an early start game against a lowly, 0-3, out of conference Giants team. How do they get up for this game? On the other hand, the Giants are off a mess of a game after losing kicker Graham Gano in pregame warmups which messed up their entire game on Sunday night against the Chiefs. After starting 0-3, the Giants are turning to 1st round pick Jaxson Dart to make his first start of the season, a move that I believe will have this team and this home crowd energized. Not only Dart but rookie RB Cam Skattebo will also get an increased role with starting RB Tyrone Tracy out with a shoulder injury. The 2 rookie play makers will give this Giants team the energy that they have long lacked. They get to stay home and put all of their focus on getting their first win of the season, while the Chargers are breathing easy and feeling good about themselves as they head cross country to play this weekend. This is a recipe for disaster for the Chargers and I expect them to be in danger of dropping their first game in New York. Take the points with the Giants and I'm calling for the outright upset, Giants 23-20.

Honorable Mention: JAX +3.5 (-115)

Source: Los Angeles Times

A. Bowman Top 10 (+120)

The NASCAR playoffs head to Kansas for the Hollywood Casino 400 and we have located a best bet for the round of 12 playoff race. We are looking at Alex Bowman for a top 10 at a nice +120 price. When NASCAR races at mile and a half tracks, we always look at Alex Bowman who quietly excels at those track types. Bowman was eliminated from the playoffs 2 weeks ago, but I expect him to still run a great race on Sunday and to compete for the race win. In the gen 7 car, Bowman holds the second best average finish at Kansas among active drivers with a 6.8 average finish, just behind race favorite Kyle Larson (6.3 avg). In the 6 races at Kansas with the current car configuration, Bowman has finished top 6 in all of them - great track history. When we look at how he has performed at similar track types this season, we find that he is either finishing top 10 or not finishing on the lead lap, meaning he had trouble throughout the race. He failed to finish on the lead lap in race 1 at Atlanta, in Texas, and in Charlotte. However, he finished 7th at Las Vegas, 2nd at Miami-Homestead, 3rd in the 2nd Atlanta race, and 5th right here at Kansas Speedway. Bowman has showed great track history and great current form on mile and a half tracks. At +120, Bowman for a top 10 is a no brainer.

Honorable Mention: R. Chastain Top 10 (-125)