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Weekend Warriors: Best Bets for September 20th and 21st.


Our first weekend warriors article starts off with us going 3-3 for basically a push on the weekend. We were able to go 2-1 in our best bets, winning in a blowout with Miami on Saturday and coming back from the wrong side of a blowout with Carolina on Sunday to blow through the backdoor. We dropped our NASCAR best bet as Bubba Wallace couldn't avoid trouble on Saturday night and ended up 13 laps back. For our honorable mentions, we fall just shy of the cover with Florida on Saturday despite throwing 5 interceptions, while also coming up just shy with a Chris Buescher top 10 as he finished 11th. We cashed our honorable mention in the NFL as the 49ers held on for the win and cover in New Orleans. We move to 3-3 on the season, 2-1 in best bets and 1-2 in honorable mentions. We are 1-1 in college football, 2-0 in the NFL, and 0-2 in NASCAR. Here are 6 more plays for the upcoming weekend.


FLA +9.5 -110 (@MIA)


For our college football best bet we are going right back to the well with the Florida Gators. As mentioned above, Florida just missed a cover last week at LSU even though they lost the turnover battle 5-1. Their defense was able to hold LSU to just 20 points despite all of the turnovers setting up short fields. Last week's game was a fluke for Gators QB DJ Lagway and while I can't promise that he won't turn the ball over 5 times this weekend, I would say it is highly unlikely. The Gators head to Miami to face their in state rival Miami Hurricanes. The Canes, currently 5th in the nation, have impressive wins this season over Notre Dame and South Florida. Speaking of South Florida, that is one of the teams that Florida has lost to just 2 weeks back. How many people are going to think "Florida lost to South Florida and Miami just beat South Florida by 37, they just have to beat Florida by 10?!" Yeah, it's not that easy and that is quite possibly the worst way that you could think entering this game. While Florida has looked less than stellar this season, this spot sets up really nicely for them. I believe they got caught looking ahead to LSU and didn't take South Florida seriously, then proceeded to gameplan for LSU really well but failed to execute on the field. This line is completely out of whack and I am here to take advantage of the added points. Nobody is going to want to back Florida this weekend which is my favorite time to jump in. This game comes down to the wire and I like Florida to pull the late upset in what I expect to be a 38-34 type of football game.


Honorable Mention: TUL +12 -110 (@ MISS)


Source: The Sporting News
Source: The Sporting News

CLE +8.5 -110 (vs GB)


My best bet in the NFL on Sunday is going to be a gross one but this play makes too much sense not to play it. We are taking the Cleveland Browns +8.5 against the Packers, the team that nobody is going to want to bet against, well, except for me. The Packers are the public's darling right now, and why wouldn't they be? They make the late trade for Micah Parsons, then come out and start the season 2-0 against two NFC teams who were in the playoffs last season. Good wins, sure, but I am not as impressed. Green Bay had Detroit in a great spot. After the Lions had beat up on them for the last couple of seasons, the Packers had all offseason to prep for the Lions and to get their revenge at home to open the season. While the Lions certainly don't take the Packers lightly, it was personal for Green Bay, but no so much for Detroit. The personal game for Detroit was the one on deck with the Bears and ex OC Ben Johnson. The Packers then got to play Washington on a short week, a Washington team that I don't expect much from this season, and the Packers got to stay at home. Now they hit the road for their first road game of the season and they're laying more than a touchdown against one of the best defenses in the league? I don't think so. The Browns were on the wrong side of bad luck in week 1 and played much closer in week 2 with the Ravens than what the final score would indicate. This is simply the most popular team in the league being way overpriced against a team with misleading results in week's 1 and 2. We're getting over a touchdown with a great defense, veteran QB, and the home team? And we get to fade the "hottest" team in the league? Oh yeah, I'm all there. Give me the points with the Browns. This game comes down to the wire where GB wins it late 23-20.


Honorable Mention: NO +7.5 -110 (@ SEA)


Source: WFYI
Source: WFYI

B. Wallace Top 10 -110


For our NASCAR best bet we are going back to Bubba Wallace top 10 at -110. I just can't get away from Bubba this season. We weren't able to cash in on his top 10 prop last weekend after he got caught up in one of the many cautions that we saw at Bristol, however, his streak continues. When Wallace has finished the race on the lead lap, he has finished in the top 10 in every race since mid July. He has been caught up in a few accidents and had troubles on pit road throughout those months, but when he keeps it clean, he races up front. Wallace sits 8th in the playoff standings entering the first race in the round of 12. On the right side of the cut line, Wallace should look to get a top finish this week to further himself from that cutline as best he can. I expect him to run a clean race and avoid incidents at all costs, which have led him to top 10's all season when that happens. Bubba has good history at New Hampshire as he owns an average finish of 15th in his 3 prior gen 7 races here, finishing in the top 10 twice in those 3 races. Everything lines up this weekend for Bubba Wallace to finish within the top 10 in New Hampshire on Sunday.


Honorable Mention: C. Buescher Top 10 +200

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