NFL Week 15 - DFS Values & Plays

Take advantage of the percentage a player is owned! The higher a player's exposure, the better you have to be at choosing other positions. Try to mix in different exposures to create your own unique lineup. Previous millionaire winners have a total ownership percentage of 100.56% each week, and the range between 75%-125% is recommended to increase your chances of winning.

QB: Lamar Jackson, $6,400

Lamar Jackson is the slam-dunk DFS value of the entire slate against a Bengals defense that’s been getting carved up by anyone with a pulse. Cincinnati ranks bottom-five in yards per play allowed, bottom-three in explosive-pass rate allowed, and they’ve quietly become one of the most blitz-vulnerable teams in football — a death sentence against Lamar, who leads all QBs in yards per attempt and success rate when pressured. His rushing floor is still elite (8+ attempts in five straight), but what pushes this into “must-play” territory is the matchup’s scoring environment: Cincinnati games are averaging 53.1 total points over the last month, and the Bengals’ offense is good enough to force Lamar into four-quarter aggression. He’s underpriced relative to his ceiling, his rushing gives you a cheat code, and this is exactly the type of defense he detonates.

RB: Woody Marks, $5,600

Woody Marks is one of the sneakiest RB values on the slate, and the matchup couldn’t be any more inviting. Arizona has been shredded on the ground all season, ranking bottom-five in yards per carry allowed and giving up 28.4 DKFP per game to opposing backfields over the last month. Marks owns the goal-line role, he’s seeing consistent early-down work, and Houston has been feeding him consistently. The Texans enter this matchup as favorites, and when they’re playing from ahead, Marks’ volume spikes in a big way. Add in his underrated pass-game usage and Arizona’s league-worst tackling metrics, and you’ve got a player who can pay off his salary with efficiency or raw volume.

WR: Wan'Dale Robinson, $5,900

   Wan’Dale Robinson is a borderline must-play value this week, stepping into a dream matchup against a Commanders defense that bleeds production to slot receivers. Washington ranks bottom-five in catch rate allowed to inside routes, gives up chunk YAC on short throws, and has been repeatedly burned by quick-twitch playmakers — which is literally Wan’Dale’s entire skillset. He’s seen a steady climb in targets, and his usage near the line of scrimmage gives him one of the safest floors on the slate while still offering real ceiling if he breaks one. The Commanders’ pass rush forces quarterbacks to get the ball out fast, and that funnels targets straight to Robinson’s role.

TE: Mason Taylor, $3,100

   Mason Taylor is an elite salary-saver this week, stepping into a quietly perfect matchup against a Jaguars defense that has been rocked by tight ends all season. Jacksonville ranks bottom-third in receptions, yards, and touchdowns allowed to the position, and they’ve been especially vulnerable in the seams — the exact area Taylor operates in. His route participation has surged, he’s being schemed into red-zone looks, and Taylor is getting clean, high-percentage targets underneath. He’s the kind of cheap TE who can give you 4–6 catches just on structure alone, and if he finds the end zone, he’s a slate-breaker at his price.

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