NFL Week 14 - DFS Values & Plays

Take advantage of the percentage a player is owned! The higher a player's exposure, the better you have to be at choosing other positions. Try to mix in different exposures to create your own unique lineup. Previous millionaire winners have a total ownership percentage of 100.56% each week, and the range between 75%-125% is recommended to increase your chances of winning.

QB: Jordan Love, $5,900 (3.41% Ownership)

Jordan Love slides in as one of my favorite value quarterbacks this week. He draws a Bears team that sits atop both the division and the conference, which sets the stage for a high-pressure, statement-type game for Green Bay. With the Packers’ running back room banged up, the offense naturally shifts onto Love’s shoulders, and that volume alone gives him sneaky upside. Vegas may be down on him, but this is the exact kind of spot where Love tends to show up—home crowd behind him, big stakes, and a chance to make ground in the playoff race. I’m trusting the arm, the opportunity, and the narrative for Love to outperform expectations and deliver value.

RB: RJ Harvey, $5,700 (9.45% Ownership)

   RJ Harvey is shaping up as a smash-value RB play this week. Harvey maintains a workload that easily projects for top-10 potential. The Raiders have completely mailed it in down the stretch, getting blown out by just about everyone, and this matchup sets up perfectly for a volume-heavy, touchdown-friendly script. Harvey will find the end zone—honestly, I think he bags two—and clearing 20 fantasy points is well within reach. The last meeting between these teams ended 10–7 and has scared people off, but that was a short-week Thursday night slog. With extra rest, a stabilized offense, and the backfield to himself, Harvey is primed to feast.

WR: Jordan Addison, $4,900 (3.72% Ownership)

   Jordan Addison is exactly the kind of DFS value play people overlook after a brutal stretch, and that’s where the edge is this week. Fantasy managers are down on him after the goose egg two weeks ago and the Vikings’ complete collapse last game. Things look so bleak that even Adam Thielen bailed on the team this week. However, JJ McCarthy returns this week, and while he’s not a miracle worker, he’s still a major upgrade over Brosmer (who tossed four interceptions and led the team to zero points). Vegas isn’t buying into Addison either, hanging his receiving line at just 41.5 yards, which only makes the leverage sweeter. Washington’s defense is absolutely beatable, coming off a draining Sunday night OT loss, and this sets up as a perfect bounce-back spot. I’m grabbing the massive salary relief and banking on Addison’s week-breaking upside in tournaments.

TE: Juwan Johnson, $4,000 (4.96% Ownership)

   We’re heading right back to the well with Juwan Johnson, and honestly, why wouldn’t we? He stays dirt cheap, barely draws any ownership, and continues to deliver TE1-level production every time he lands in a favorable script. As 8.5-point underdogs, Tyler Shough should be airing it out all game long, and Johnson remains one of his go-to reads in high-leverage situations. He’s consistently earned Shough’s trust, and against a banged-up Tampa Bay team, the volume should be there once again. With steady targets and real touchdown equity, Johnson is a value tight end I’m more than willing to roll with—especially in a week where he has a strong chance to find the end zone.

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