English Premier League Best Bets: Matchweek 14 (Dec. 2, 2025 - Dec. 4, 2025):

Aaron Bainbridge
Dec 1, 2025
4 min read

Welcome to English Premier League Best Bets, a Bettor in Green Article Series where we break down the latest action in the English Premier League (EPL) and my favorite bets for the upcoming matchweek.

For an overview of what to expect in this Series, check out my 2025/26 EPL Season Preview and Futures article here.

Recap:

Round 13 of the EPL brought plenty of goals, with 22 goals scored across the 5 matches on Saturday alone.

Arsenal and Chelsea split the points on Sunday with a 1-1 draw, despite a 38th-minute red card for Chelsea’s Moisés Caicedo.

Speaking of red cards, West Ham’s Lucas Paquetá was sent off after two yellow cards for dissent (arguing with the ref) within a minute of one another and stemming from the same incident. West Ham’s woes continue as they lost 0-2 to Liverpool.

We hit 2-1 for Best Bets, as Brentford got a few late goals to win 3-1 and Sunderland came from 2 goals down to win outright, though Aston Villa only got one goal, so we didn’t hit our over 1.5 goals for that match.

My dismal form continues Across the Globe, hitting 2-3, winning with Athletic Club and Boca Juniors. Melbourne City and RB Salzburg only managed draws, despite leading in shots, possession, and xG, while Strasbourg blew a 1 goal lead at home to Brest.

Upcoming Matches:

Matchweek 14 will be played midweek, with matches on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday.

Matches I’m looking forward to are Newcastle v Tottenham, Arsenal v Brentford, and Liverpool v Sunderland.

Let’s get to the bets:

Best Bets:

Pick #1: Newcastle v Tottenham Hotspur Both Teams to Score -135 (Dec. 2, 2025; 3:15 p.m. EST):

For my first Best Bet I’m taking Both Teams to Score in the Newcastle v Spurs match.

These sides played one another at St. James’ Park (Newcastle’s home) on October 29 in the Carabao Cup, with Newcastle winning 2-0. However, I think Spurs will at least get one this match, even if they lose to Newcastle.

St. James’ Park is traditionally a tough venue, known for its distance from other clubs and the energy brought by the fans. Newcastle have won their last 6 home matches in all competitions and have won 8 of 11 in all competitions at home this season.

Newcastle are coming off a 1-4 victory at Everton and scored at least one goal in 14 of their last 15 matches.

Spurs have been terrible at home, yet have been surprisingly strong on the road. They’ve scored in 8 of 10 away matches in all competitions this season and have a +6 goal differential in the EPL on the road, 2nd only to Chelsea.

Even in their terrible showing against Arsenal, they still found a wonder-goal through Richarlison.

This should be an entertaining match and I expect goals from both sides.

Pick #2: Nottingham Forest Moneyline +120 (Dec. 3, 2025; 2:30 p.m. EST):

For our next Best Bet, backing the Tricky Trees to get a win on the road against Wolves.

But let’s be honest, this bet is primarily based on fading Wolves.

Wolves have lost their last 7 in all competitions and are 0-2-11 in the EPL. Their only two wins this season came in the Carabao cup.

Until they turn it around, I’ll be continuing to fade Wolves every week, especially when we can get their opposition to win at plus money.

Nottingham Forest sit in 16th but have really started to find some form under new coach Sean Dyche. Since his arrival, they’ve won 4, drawn 2, and lost 2.

They did just lose 0-2 to Brighton at home, however, they had the majority of possession, shots, and touches in the opposition box. I’m pretty high on Brighton this season, so I wasn’t surprised by this result and expect a better showing against Wolves, even if Morgan Gibbs-White is injured.

Their last away match was the 0-3 win at Liverpool and I expect them to bring that energy to Wolves.

Pick #3: Chelsea Moneyline -130 (Dec. 3, 2025; 3:15 p.m. EST):

For my final bet, I’m backing Chelsea to keep their solid form and expecting Leeds to continue their relatively poor form.

Chelsea currently sit 3rd in the EPL and are trying to push to be title contenders this season. They just managed a 1-1 draw with Arsenal, despite getting a red card in the first half, going on to score their goal while down a man.

They’ve only lost 1 match in their last 12 in all competitions, with a record of 9-2-1 in that span. This includes a 3-0 win against Barcelona in the Champions League, as well as a win against Liverpool and a win against Spurs on the road.

They’re 4-1-1 in the EPL on the road and have the best goal differential when away in the EPL. With their large squad, they’ve had plenty of depth to rotate, with Enzo Maresca still managing to get good results despite making more changes than any other EPL team.

Leeds, on the other hand, have only scored 13 goals in the EPL this season, with only Wolves scoring fewer. They’ve conceded 25, which puts them 4th for most goals conceded.

Leeds have lost their last 4 matches and are 2-1-7 in their last 10. They’re right in the middle of a tough run, having played Manchester City at the weekend, now facing Chelsea, then facing Liverpool 3 days later on Saturday.