UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan - DFS Plays and Fades
- Ben Bentley
- Dec 5, 2025
- 2 min read
If you want to win in UFC DFS, you need an edge the field doesn’t have. That edge starts with knowing how fighters actually score points—who bleeds value, who prints value, and who can break a slate with one explosive sequence. On this slate, we’re targeting fighters who pressure, chain-wrestle, hunt finishes, and don’t take their foot off the gas. Hesitant strikers? Back-pedalers? They’ll bury your lineup before the second horn.
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Every Lineup Fighter: Merab Dvalishvili, $9,500, (-410)
Merab Dvalishvili is my every-lineup fighter this week—and the graphs prove why. We have two fighters on this slate sitting so far apart in value that they can’t even fit on the same chart, and Merab is the one breaking the model. His value score is so absurdly high he literally disappears off the graph. Nobody in the UFC has a gas tank like Merab. Nobody matches his pressure, his pace, or his willingness to weaponize cardio for 25 straight minutes. He’s already beaten Yan, and this is a version of Yan who’s older, slower, and facing a Merab who has gained a world of confidence since their last meeting. I expect a dominant decision, but with his pace and momentum, I wouldn’t rule out a late-fight finish either.
